Severity of TCs in analogue seasons
The TC Outlook is based on statistical analyses of historical tropical cyclones data that occurred dating back to the 1970’s in similar ENSO-Neutral conditions, the same methodology developed by regional centers, with national Tropical Cyclone Outlooks utilizing national datasets.
For Samoa, (7) analogue (mapped) seasons are identical to the current ENSO conditions. Analogue Seasons (1986/87; 1990/91; 2003/04; 2004/05; 2006/07; 2009/10; 2014/15)
*Data Extracted from pdf*
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